Ydinsodan vaaraa vähätellään Suomessa. Le Mondessa mm. Stefan Löfven kirjoittaa ydinaseriisunnan puolesta.

Harvinaista, että joku kirjoittaa tänään rauhan puolesta. Laatulehti Le Monde julkaisee tällaisia kirjoituksia. Kirjoittajilla on pitkä kokemus yhteiskunnallisista asioista. He eivät ole mitään haihattelijoita. Eli Stefan Löfven (former prime minister of Sweden) and Sundeep Waslekar (president of Strategic Foresight Group)

Ehkä jonain päivänä joku isompi media Suomessa uskaltaa julkaista tällaista rauhanomaista tekstiä, jos löytyy joku tunnetumpi nimi kirjoittamaan asiasta? Senttareilla siis vapailla toimittajilla ei ole toivoakaan saada asiasta juttua mihinkään isompaan lehteen Suomessa.Sellainen on sananvapauden tila Suomessa 2024 – kutein melkein aina on ollut. Ei ole kiellettyä kirjoittaa, mutta julkaisualustaksi tarjoutuu vain joku marginaalinen foorumi

Stanley Kubrickin elokuva vuodelta 1964 ”Tohtori Outolempi eli: kuinka lakkasin olemasta huolissani ja opin rakastamaan pommia”, kertoo mustan huumorin avulla hyvin ydinsotapolitiikan ytimen, sen absurdiuden.

Järkiolento ihminen toimii usein järjettömästi, absurdisti. Varsinkin sodan uhkaamissa tilanteissa ja eritoten sotatilanteissa. Siksi olisi hyvä, että kiellettäisiin isojen poikien ja isojen tyttöjen ydinpommileikit.

Alla olevassa katkelmassa kaksi kokenutta yhteiskunnallista vaikuttajaa taustoittaa hienosti ja pragmaattisesti ydinpommien vastustamisen historiallisen ja tämänpäiväisen logiikan.

Stefan Löfven and Sundeep Waslekar:’Let’s agree on a time-bound action plan for the phased elimination of nuclear weapons’
(Le Monde 12.6.2023)

The biggest question of our time is whether we should surrender before the pessimism of the inevitability of war or construct a future of hope where wars are made history. When Ukraine, the Middle East and Sudan are being ravaged, when East Asia lives in the shadow of bloodshed, when algorithms are taking over the control of lethal weapons from humans, when the arms control regime lies in tatters, when 2,800 nuclear warheads are on hair-trigger alert, where can we find a vision of another future?

On 20 December 1961, the United Nations General Assembly unanimously adopted Resolution 1722 (XVI) calling for general and complete disarmament, including the dismantling of the military infrastructure of the individual nation states, based on the joint statement of the governments of the USSR and the United States.
The joint statement was negotiated by John McCloy, the special envoy of President John Kennedy, and Valerian Zorin, the special envoy of USSR leader Nikita Khrushchev. McCloy and Zorin were not monks or wide-eyed dreamers. McCloy had been assistant secretary of war, a banker, a top lawyer and one of the founders of the CIA.

Zorin was a former deputy foreign minister and an apparatchik of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union. They were the toughest realists that one could encounter in Washington DC and Moscow in the 1960s. They met secretly at the height of the Cold War, commencing their negotiations soon after the construction of the Berlin Wall began and a year before the Cuban Missile Crisis took place.  ..
Fourth, we need a gradual decrease in military expenditure from $2.2 trillion, which is more than double the level at the end of the Cold War, and divert the saved funds toward addressing global challenges…

The proposed agenda is ambitious. It is not in the nature of nation states to renounce power. It will be essential for the global civil society and countries that realize that they will be unwilling victims of a catastrophic war, to form a coalition to present a comprehensive framework for collective security. The Nuclear Freeze Movement led by researcher Randall Forsberg in the US and the Semipalatinsk Movement led by poet Olzhas Suleimenov in Kazakhstan in the 1980s forced Reagan and Gorbachev to commit never to wage a nuclear war.

Some may argue that this is not a time for peace as they must first punish their rivals. But can we wait for someone to detonate a tactical nuclear weapon, killing a few million people, in Ukraine or Finland by an Avangard missile, or in Kansas or California by a Hwasong missile, to wake up from our slumber? We are at a stage when two roads diverge in a wood, and we take the one less traveled by, it will make all the difference.

Stefan Löfven, former prime Minister of Sweden, is chairman of Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) and Co-chairman of the UN Secretary General’s High-Level Advisory Board.
Sundeep Waslekar is president of Strategic Foresight Group and the author of ”Entre Guerre et Paix” (”Between War and Piece,” French National Center for Scientific Research, 2023).

Veikko Tarvainen

Stefan Löfven and  Sundeep Waslekar:’Let’s agree on a time-bound action plan for the phased elimination of nuclear weapons’
(Le Monde12.6.2023)

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